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Copa America:

Chile- Bolivia


We have spoken already this week about how close almost every match at the Copa America has been , eight matches have been decided by a single goal, three have been draws and there has been a single two goal win and even that should have been a closer result. It is hard to see that suddenly changing in this game with so much at stake and with the better and home team mindful of much bigger games ahead, a long tournament and able to get what they desire from the game without "wasting" too much energy. A win would see Chile top the group, but a point would be enough , unless Mexico record at least a two goal win. Bolivia have the same criteria more or less, they will win the group with all three points, but probably know that is beyond them, a point would ensure second and mean avoiding Argentina in the last eight , also, with four points in the bag, a one goal defeat would mean they would look solid for one of the two third places and that is their fail safe and means if they do fall behind, they will be keen not to concede a second and there would be no reason for Chile to push for it either. Bolivia +1.25 ball 2.20 asian line/Sportmarket. Incredibly, this match is played after the Mex-Ec ( see below) so the situation could change if one of the teams in the earlier game won big, but I am happy with the handicap start regardless.

Vedonlyöntivihje: 19.6.2015 23:55 - Copa America 2015 - Meksiko-Ecuador - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Meksiko-Ecuador

veto

Ecuador -0.5

kerroin

2.950 (Veikkaus)

panos

2 yks.

raja

2.703

todennäköisyysarvio

arvio 37%

Osuma! +3.90 yks.

Vedonlyöntivihje: 20.6.2015 02:30 - Copa America 2015 - Chile-Bolivia - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Chile-Bolivia

veto

Chile -1.5

kerroin

2.000 (Matchbook)

panos

1 yks.

raja

1.961

todennäköisyysarvio

arvio 51%

Osuma! +1.00 yks.

Vedonlyöntivihje: 20.6.2015 00:00 - COPA AMERICA 2015 - Mexico - Ecuador - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Mexico - Ecuador

veto

Mexico 0

kerroin

1.880 (pinnacle)

panos

8 yks.

raja

1.65

Huti: -8.00 yks.

1-2

Vedonlyöntivihje: 20.6.2015 00:00 - COPA AMERICA 2015 - Mexico - Ecuador - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Mexico - Ecuador

veto

Under 2,75

kerroin

1.950 (188bet)

panos

6 yks.

raja

1.75

Puoliksi huti: -3.00 yks.

1-2

Vedonlyöntivihje: 20.6.2015 02:30 - Uruguay-Paraguay - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Uruguay-Paraguay

veto

Urut

kerroin

2.170 (Pinnacle)

panos

1 yks.

Osuma! +1.17 yks.

Omissa ruutupapereissani Urut 55% suosikki. Underit kyllä totaalisesti syöty.

Pieni irtohuomio ilman erityistä vihjettä. Voipi olla suurimmalle osalle jo tiedossakin mutta laitanpa nyt silti:

A-lohko on nyt siis paketoitu ja jatkoon menivät ykkösenä kisaisäntä Chile ja kakkosena umpisurkea Bolivia. Tämä tarkoittaa sitä, että C-lohkon kakkoseksi sijoittunut tulee kohtaamaan puolivälierissä Bolivian ja sen voittaessaan välierässä Chilen.

C-lohkon voittajan kaavio tulee olemaan B2 puolivälierissä ja (todennäköisesti) B1 välierissä. Näitä joukkueita tulevat olemaan kaksi ryhmästä Uruguay, Paraguay ja Argentiina.

Tästä lienee hyvin helppo päätellä, että jokaiselle C-lohkon joukkueelle lohkon kakkossija sopisi huomattavasti paremmin kuin lohkon voitto. Huomioitavaa on, että lohkon päätösotteluita ei pelata yhtä aikaa, vaan ensin pelataan Kolumbia-Peru ja vasta sen päätyttyä päätöskamppailu Brasilian ja Venezuelan välillä.

Jos Kolumbia-Peru-ottelu päättyy jommankumman voittoon eli ei tasapeliin, niin Brasilia-Venezuela-tasapelillä Brasilia sijoittuisi toiseksi tehtyään enemmän maaleja alkusarjassa kuin tasapisteisiin päätyvä Venezuela. Voisivatko Brassit olla niin kelmejä, että pelaavat tasurin, jos ensimmäinen peli ei pääty tasan? Tasurin kertoimet pyörivät neljän paikkeilla tällä hetkellä...

Jos Kolumbia-Peru päättyy mihin tahansa muuhun tasapeliin kuin 0-0, on siinäkin tapauksessa Brasseilla pienemmällä tasapelillä mahdollisuus ottaa lohkon kakkospaikka. Esim. COL-PER 1-1, BRA-VEN 0-0 tai COL-PER 2-2, BRA-VEN 0-0 ja 1-1 jne.

Vedonlyöntivihje: 20.6.2015 22:00 - COPA AMERICA 2015 - Uruguay - Paraguay - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Uruguay - Paraguay

veto

Uruguay -0,5

kerroin

2.330 (pinnacle)

panos

3.5 yks.

raja

2.12

Huti: -3.50 yks.

1-1

Vedonlyöntivihje: 20.6.2015 22:00 - COPA AMERICA 2015 - Uruguay - Paraguay - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Uruguay - Paraguay

veto

Over 2

kerroin

1.980 (188bet)

panos

3.5 yks.

raja

1.85

Push: +0.00 yks.

1-1

Vedonlyöntivihje: 21.6.2015 00:30 - COPA AMERICA 2015 - Argentina - Jamaica - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Argentina - Jamaica

veto

Under 3

kerroin

2.110 (188bet)

panos

5 yks.

raja

1.88

Osuma! +5.55 yks.

1-0

Vedonlyöntivihje: 21.6.2015 22:00 - COPA AMERICA 2015 - Colombia - Peru - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Colombia - Peru

veto

Columbia -0,75

kerroin

1.920 (pinnacle)

panos

5 yks.

raja

1.75

Huti: -5.00 yks.

0-0

Vedonlyöntivihje: 22.6.2015 00:30 - COPA AMERICA 2015 - Brazil - Venezuela - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Brazil - Venezuela

veto

Brazil -1

kerroin

2.120 (pinnacle)

panos

4.5 yks.

raja

1.92

Push: +0.00 yks.

2-1

Vedonlyöntivihje: 22.6.2015 01:30 - COPA AMERICA 2015 - Brazil - Venezuela - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Brazil - Venezuela

veto

Under 2,5

kerroin

1.750 (188bet)

panos

2 yks.

raja

1.69

Huti: -2.00 yks.

2-1

Vedonlyöntivihje: 26.6.2015 02:30 - bolivia-peru - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

bolivia-peru

veto

peru-0.25

kerroin

1.830 (pinnacle)

panos

0.4 yks.

raja

1.724

todennäköisyysarvio

arvio 58%

Osuma! +0.33 yks.

uskotaan tässä olevan tasoeroa Perun hyväksi.

Vedonlyöntivihje: 27.6.2015 02:30 - Argentiina - Kolumbia (0 - 1) - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Argentiina - Kolumbia (0 - 1)

veto

X

kerroin

3.650 (NordicBet)

panos

2 yks.

Vedonlyöntivihje: 27.6.2015 02:30 - Argentiina - Kolumbia - peliaika päättynyt

kohde

Argentiina - Kolumbia

veto

Argentiina

kerroin

1.920 (NordicBet)

panos

4 yks.

Copa America: Chile- Peru


With Brazil, who have always been a bogey team for Chile out of the competition and Argentina facing a rematch with a Paraguayan side they struggled with at the group stage tomorrow, things are starting to look hugely promising for the hosts, but with that comes added pressure, the level of expectation is through the roof and now, failure to reach the final will be seen as a bit of a disaster and if Peru can hang on in there early, they can use that to their advantage. Peru have looked very well organised at these championships and were comfortable quarter final winners over Bolivia, ahead of which I wrote ......"Peru have looked very solid keeping Colombia and Venuezuela scoreless and Brazil at 1-1 (after two early goals) for 87 minutes. They do not have any real weaknesses, look good in defence and midfield and have three veteran forwards in Paolo Guerrero, Jefferson Farfan and Claudio Pizarro who are all the wrong side of thirty and playing in what might be their last major championship, the trio have all played at the top level in Europe and have 60 international goals between them and can find a goal and one might be enough, to edge this. Peru feel they are improving and have more to offer and I would have been very keen on them for this if they were not without captain Carlos Labatón and defensive midfielder Josepmir Ballón, who are both suspended. That kind of tempers enthusiasm, but they are in their 7th straight Copa quarter final and will be looking to at least equal their 2011 3rd place finish. They were not adventurous enough in the semi final against Uruguay that year and I feel they will have learned from that.
"
They were 2-0 up inside the first quarter of the game, had a whopping 27 attempts on goal (hitting the woodwork twice) and Paolo Guerrero scored a hat trick, before Bolivia made the scoreline respectable with a late consolation goal, it was an impressive victory and this is a team on the up and improving game upon game. Chilean centre back Gonzalo Jara is suspended after putting his finger where it should not be put (!) and the hosts conceded two goals at home to the US in the only start he has missed in 2015. Mexico are the only team who have really taken the game to Chile in this competition and they scored three without the cream of their offensive talent and if Peru are prepared to have a go, I can definitely see a goal or maybe two for them and I am very keen on the "away" team with the handicap start. Peru use both flanks well and could create havoc in the box, with a big aerial advantage over Chile and I have to take .............. Peru +1 ball 2.03 asian line/Sportmarket.


Gary Medel and David Pizzaro ended the Bolivia game in the middle of the backline for Chile, they are each 1.71m tall, Guerrero and Claudio Pizzaro are both 1.84m + and this could be a real route to goal for Peru, who are a very tempting 6.5-7.0 general quote to score twice ("over" 1.5 goals) , how about something small on that....