MLB 12.5

[odds]

Totals-arviot

Tarkoitus olisi pitää näistä seurantaa.



<TABLE border="1">
<tr><td>stadium</td><td>hometeam</td><td>visiteam</td><td>prob 1</td><td>prob 2</td><td>totalline</td><td>over</td><td>under</td></tr>
<tr><td>Comerica Park</td><td>Detroit (Frederick Alfred Porcello)</td><td>Cleveland (Zach McAllister)</td><td>55.31</td><td>44.69</td><td>9.00</td><td>53.24</td><td>46.76</td></tr>
<tr><td>Fenway Park</td><td>Boston (Ryan Scott Dempster)</td><td>Toronto (Chad Jenkins)</td><td>69.02</td><td>30.98</td><td>9.00</td><td>53.97</td><td>46.03</td></tr>
<tr><td>Kauffman Stadium</td><td>Kansas City (Ervin Ramon Santana)</td><td>NY Yankees (Hiroki Kuroda)</td><td>46.72</td><td>53.28</td><td>7.50</td><td>54.30</td><td>45.70</td></tr>
<tr><td>Target Field</td><td>Minnesota (Scott Diamond)</td><td>Baltimore (Wei-Yin Chen)</td><td>52.61</td><td>47.39</td><td>8.00</td><td>50.11</td><td>49.89</td></tr>
<tr><td>Minute Maid Park</td><td>Houston (Jordan Lyles)</td><td>Texas (Nick Tepesch)</td><td>48.35</td><td>51.65</td><td>9.00</td><td>52.96</td><td>47.04</td></tr>
<tr><td>Safeco Field</td><td>Seattle (Joseph Francis Saunders)</td><td>Oakland (Tom Milone)</td><td>45.77</td><td>54.23</td><td>8.00</td><td>41.08</td><td>58.92</td></tr>
<tr><td>U.S. Cellular Field</td><td>Chi White Sox (Chris Sale)</td><td>LA Angels (Christopher John Wilson)</td><td>60.57</td><td>39.43</td><td>7.50</td><td>43.10</td><td>56.90</td></tr>
<tr><td>Great American Ball Park</td><td>Cincinnati (Bronson Anthony Arroyo)</td><td>Milwaukee (Wily Peralta)</td><td>62.60</td><td>37.40</td><td>8.50</td><td>58.50</td><td>41.50</td></tr>
<tr><td>Citi Field</td><td>NY Mets (Matt Harvey)</td><td>Pittsburgh (Jeanmar Gomez)</td><td>55.74</td><td>44.26</td><td>6.50</td><td>54.96</td><td>45.04</td></tr>
<tr><td>Nationals Park</td><td>Washington (Giovany A. Gonzalez)</td><td>Chi Cubs (Scott Wynne Feldman)</td><td>67.48</td><td>32.52</td><td>7.50</td><td>47.14</td><td>52.86</td></tr>
<tr><td>Busch Stadium</td><td>St. Louis (Jaime Omar Garcia)</td><td>Colorado (Jorge Alberto De La Rosa)</td><td>59.40</td><td>40.60</td><td>8.00</td><td>47.10</td><td>52.90</td></tr>
<tr><td>AT&T Park</td><td>San Francisco (Timothy LeRoy Lincecum)</td><td>Atlanta (Kristopher Allen Medlen)</td><td>59.69</td><td>40.31</td><td>7.50</td><td>39.97</td><td>60.03</td></tr>
<tr><td>Chase Field</td><td>Arizona (Brandon Patrick McCarthy)</td><td>Philadelphia (Kyle Rodney Kendrick)</td><td>58.07</td><td>41.93</td><td>9.00</td><td>55.14</td><td>44.86</td></tr>
<tr><td>Dodger Stadium</td><td>LA Dodgers (Christopher Frank Capuano)</td><td>Miami (Tom Koehler)</td><td>64.52</td><td>35.48</td><td>7.50</td><td>57.84</td><td>42.16</td></tr>
<tr><td>Tropicana Field</td><td>Tampa Bay (Michel Hernandez)</td><td>San Diego (Eric William Stults)</td><td>54.51</td><td>45.49</td><td>8.00</td><td>50.11</td><td>49.89</td></tr>
</TABLE>

Päivitykset tarkentuneilla kokoonpanoilla&sääennusteilla:

<TABLE border="1">
<tr><td>stadium</td><td>hometeam</td><td>visiteam</td><td>prob 1</td><td>prob 2</td><td>totalline</td><td>over</td><td>under</td></tr>
<tr><td>Safeco Field</td><td>Seattle (Joseph Francis Saunders)</td><td>Oakland (Tom Milone)</td><td>46.07</td><td>53.93</td><td>7.50</td><td>45.34</td><td>54.66</td></tr>
<tr><td>U.S. Cellular Field</td><td>Chi White Sox (Chris Sale)</td><td>LA Angels (Christopher John Wilson)</td><td>60.57</td><td>39.43</td><td>7.50</td><td>43.10</td><td>56.90</td></tr>
<tr><td>AT&T Park</td><td>San Francisco (Timothy LeRoy Lincecum)</td><td>Atlanta (Kristopher Allen Medlen)</td><td>60.20</td><td>39.80</td><td>7.50</td><td>39.93</td><td>60.07</td></tr>
<tr><td>Chase Field</td><td>Arizona (Brandon Patrick McCarthy)</td><td>Philadelphia (Kyle Rodney Kendrick)</td><td>58.42</td><td>41.58</td><td>8.50</td><td>59.58</td><td>40.42</td></tr>
<tr><td>Dodger Stadium</td><td>LA Dodgers (Christopher Frank Capuano)</td><td>Miami (Tom Koehler)</td><td>64.52</td><td>35.48</td><td>7.50</td><td>57.84</td><td>42.16</td></tr>
</TABLE>

[odds]

Tulokset:

Edit: tulostusta parannettu

Huomioita:

1)
Muutamassa pelissä arviot hieman heittäneet ylläolevista. Syynä se, että laskin uudet probsit kokoonpanojen ollessa selvillä (esim Kansas-NYY).

2)
Boston-Toronto pelissä total-line nousi 9.5 myötätuulen voimistuessa. Probsit uudella ennusteella tuolle rajalle olivat 44% 56%.

3)
Pelikohteen vaatimus on odotusarvo > 1.05. Panos Kellyn-kaavasta f(pelikassa, osumis-%, kerroin).

<table border="1"><tr><th>Date</th><th>Hometeam</th><th>Visiteam</th><th>Result</th><th>Bet type</th><th>Bet</th><th>Odd</th><th>Stake</th><th>Return</th><th>Bank</th></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Detroit</td><td>Cleveland</td><td>3-4</td><td>totals</td><td>over 9.00 (53.2%)</td><td>2.08(Canbet) 1.91(Sportingbet)</td><td>87.78</td><td></td><td>3444.37</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Boston</td><td>Toronto</td><td>4-12</td><td>totals 9.5</td><td>no value(44.1% 55.9%)</td><td>2.17(Pinnacle) 1.83(BetCRIS)</td><td>-</td><td>-</td><td>-</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Kansas City</td><td>NY Yankees</td><td>2-4</td><td>totals</td><td>over 7.50 (50.2%)</td><td>2.17(Pinnacle) 1.80(BetCRIS)</td><td>68.23</td><td></td><td>3376.14</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Minnesota</td><td>Baltimore</td><td>0-6</td><td>totals</td><td>no value(50.8% 49.2%)</td><td>1.96(Canbet) 2.00(The greek)</td><td>-</td><td>-</td><td>-</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Houston</td><td>Texas</td><td>7-12</td><td>totals</td><td>over 9.00 (52.3%)</td><td>2.05(BetCRIS) 1.89(Canbet)</td><td>60.63</td><td>124.28</td><td>3439.80</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Seattle</td><td>Oakland</td><td>6-1</td><td>totals</td><td>under 7.50 (54.7%)</td><td>2.00(The greek) 2.00(BetCRIS)</td><td>82.36</td><td>164.73</td><td>3522.16</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Chi White Sox</td><td>LA Angels</td><td>3-0</td><td>totals</td><td>under 7.50 (56.9%)</td><td>1.93(Pinnacle) 2.03(Canbet)</td><td>132.99</td><td>269.97</td><td>3659.14</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Cincinnati</td><td>Milwaukee</td><td>5-1</td><td>totals</td><td>over 8.50 (58.5%)</td><td>2.09(Pinnacle) 1.83(Bet365)</td><td>180.30</td><td></td><td>3478.85</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>NY Mets</td><td>Pittsburgh</td><td>2-3</td><td>totals</td><td>no value(55.0% 45.0%)</td><td>1.83(BetCRIS) 2.24(Pinnacle)</td><td>-</td><td>-</td><td>-</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Washington</td><td>Chi Cubs</td><td>1-2</td><td>totals</td><td>no value(46.8% 53.2%)</td><td>2.20(Pinnacle) 1.80(BetCRIS)</td><td>-</td><td>-</td><td>-</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>St. Louis</td><td>Colorado</td><td>2-8</td><td>totals</td><td>no value(50.2% 49.8%)</td><td>2.04(Pinnacle) 1.91(BetCRIS)</td><td>-</td><td>-</td><td>-</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>San Francisco</td><td>Atlanta</td><td>5-1</td><td>totals</td><td>under 7.50 (60.1%)</td><td>2.05(BetCRIS) 1.88(Pinnacle)</td><td>129.76</td><td>243.96</td><td>3593.04</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>LA Dodgers</td><td>Miami</td><td>5-3</td><td>totals</td><td>over 7.50 (57.8%)</td><td>1.83(BetCRIS) 2.16(Pinnacle)</td><td>62.22</td><td>113.86</td><td>3644.68</td></tr>
<tr><td>12.5.2013</td><td>Arizona</td><td>Philadelphia</td><td>2-4</td><td>totals</td><td>over 8.50 (59.6%)</td><td>2.00(Pinnacle) 1.91(Pinnacle)</td><td>169.24</td><td></td><td>3475.44</td></tr>
<tr><th colspan="4">Moneyline</th><th colspan="4">Totals</th><th colspan="4">All</th></tr>
<tr><th>Num bets</th><th>Stakes</th><th>Wins</th><th>Return-%</th><th>Num bets</th><th>Stakes</th><th>Wins</th><th>Return-%</th><th>Num bets</th><th>Stakes</th><th>Wins</th><th>Return-%</th></tr>
<tr><td></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>9</td><td>27.5613</td><td>25.9557</td><td>94.1744</td><td>9</td><td>27.5613</td><td>25.9557</td><td>94.1744</td></tr>
</table>